{"id":26224,"date":"2026-09-09T12:45:38","date_gmt":"2026-09-09T12:45:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/windowsreport.com\/fr\/lia-a-plus-de-10-de-chances-de-tuer-toute-lhumanite-au-cours-de-la-prochaine-decennie-un-avertissement-glacant-emane-de-linterieur-danthropic\/"},"modified":"2026-09-09T12:48:54","modified_gmt":"2026-09-09T12:48:54","slug":"lia-a-plus-de-10-de-chances-de-tuer-toute-lhumanite-au-cours-de-la-prochaine-decennie-un-avertissement-glacant-emane-de-linterieur-danthropic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/windowsreport.com\/fr\/lia-a-plus-de-10-de-chances-de-tuer-toute-lhumanite-au-cours-de-la-prochaine-decennie-un-avertissement-glacant-emane-de-linterieur-danthropic\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019IA a plus de 10 % de chances de tuer tous les humains au cours de la prochaine d\u00e9cennie, avertissement gla\u00e7ant lanc\u00e9 par des initi\u00e9s d\u2019Anthropic"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>L\u2019ancien chercheur d\u2019Anthropic Jacob Coxon a fait une pr\u00e9diction gla\u00e7ante sur ce \u00e0 quoi la course \u00e0 l\u2019IA pourrait finalement mener. Dans <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hilbertspaess\/status\/2097476196791709843\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">un fil de discussion sur X<\/a>, il a \u00e9voqu\u00e9 sa conviction qu\u2019il existe une possibilit\u00e9 s\u00e9rieuse que des syst\u00e8mes d\u2019IA de plus en plus puissants puissent repr\u00e9senter une menace existentielle pour l\u2019humanit\u00e9. Pour appuyer son \u00e9valuation, Evan Hubinger, responsable de la science de l\u2019alignement chez Anthropic, a ajout\u00e9 un chiffre \u00e0 c\u00f4t\u00e9, ce qui rend le niveau de risque difficile \u00e0 ignorer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-anthropic-s-ex-researcher-jacob-coxon-raises-concerns-about-the-future-of-ai\">L\u2019ancien chercheur d\u2019Anthropic Jacob Coxon s\u2019inqui\u00e8te pour l\u2019avenir de l\u2019IA<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Coxon a d\u00e9missionn\u00e9 d\u2019Anthropic <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2026\/09\/09\/anthropic-insiders-warn-ai-could-kill-all-humans\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">apr\u00e8s avoir exprim\u00e9 des inqui\u00e9tudes sur la direction prise par l\u2019entreprise<\/a> et sur la course plus large vers des syst\u00e8mes d\u2019IA de plus en plus puissants. Ses pr\u00e9occupations surviennent \u00e0 un moment o\u00f9 les grandes entreprises d\u2019IA s\u2019efforcent activement de d\u00e9velopper des syst\u00e8mes capables de g\u00e9rer des t\u00e2ches de plus en plus complexes avec moins d\u2019intervention humaine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La plus grande inqui\u00e9tude concerne ce qui se passera si les futurs syst\u00e8mes d\u2019IA deviennent capables de s\u2019am\u00e9liorer eux-m\u00eames ou de fonctionner avec une autonomie nettement plus grande. Contr\u00f4ler de tels syst\u00e8mes pourrait devenir beaucoup plus difficile si leurs capacit\u00e9s d\u00e9passent la compr\u00e9hension humaine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u2019avertissement de Coxon met \u00e9galement en lumi\u00e8re une fracture croissante au sein du secteur de l\u2019IA. Les entreprises rivalisent pour cr\u00e9er des mod\u00e8les plus performants, tandis que les chercheurs continuent de travailler sur les moyens de s\u00e9curiser ces syst\u00e8mes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-10-figure-makes-the-warning-even-more-serious\">Le chiffre de 10&#160;% rend l\u2019avertissement encore plus pr\u00e9occupant<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Evan Hubinger, responsable de la science de l\u2019alignement chez Anthropic, a appuy\u00e9 l\u2019\u00e9valuation de Coxon et <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/EvanHub\/status\/2097497037956891126\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">estim\u00e9 que l\u2019IA a plus de 10&#160;% de chances de tuer l\u2019humanit\u00e9 tout enti\u00e8re<\/a> au cours de la prochaine d\u00e9cennie. Cette estimation est l\u2019\u00e9valuation personnelle de Hubinger, plut\u00f4t qu\u2019une pr\u00e9diction officielle d\u2019Anthropic. Dans une publication de suivi sur X, citant le rapport officiel d\u2019\u00e9valuation des risques d\u2019Anthropic, Hubinger a ajout\u00e9 que \u00ab&#160;le risque pos\u00e9 par les mod\u00e8les actuels est faible. Ce qui m\u2019inqui\u00e8te, c\u2019est l\u2019\u00e9mergence d\u2019une superintelligence issue d\u2019une auto-am\u00e9lioration r\u00e9cursive, qui, comme nous l\u2019avons d\u00e9j\u00e0 dit, se produit plus vite que pr\u00e9vu&#160;\u00bb. Vous pouvez consulter la publication ci-dessous :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">To be clear, as we say in our latest Risk Report (<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/9PDj8Uvoty\">https:\/\/t.co\/9PDj8Uvoty<\/a>), I think the risk from present models is low. What I am worried about is superintelligence arising from recursive self-improvement, as we have said is happening faster than we thought\u2026<\/p>&mdash; Evan Hubinger (@EvanHub) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/EvanHub\/status\/2097528891846074828?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 9, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Toutefois, les pr\u00e9occupations de Coxon et l\u2019estimation de Hubinger soul\u00e8vent la m\u00eame question inconfortable concernant l\u2019IA avanc\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Les chercheurs sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9s en s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de l\u2019IA travaillent depuis des ann\u00e9es sur l\u2019alignement, ce qui consiste globalement \u00e0 faire en sorte que les syst\u00e8mes d\u2019IA puissants se comportent conform\u00e9ment aux intentions humaines. Cela dit, il n\u2019existe toujours aucune solution garantie pour contr\u00f4ler d\u2019hypoth\u00e9tiques syst\u00e8mes superintelligents. La technologie pourrait progresser consid\u00e9rablement avant que les chercheurs ne comprennent pleinement comment g\u00e9rer ces risques.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-ai-race-shows-little-sign-of-slowing\">La course \u00e0 l\u2019IA montre peu de signes de ralentissement<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Au d\u00e9but de l\u2019essor de l\u2019IA g\u00e9n\u00e9rative, les pr\u00e9occupations portaient principalement sur la d\u00e9sinformation, les emplois et les usages abusifs. Aujourd\u2019hui, les chercheurs \u00e9voquent de plus en plus des cons\u00e9quences bien plus graves. On ignore si ces avertissements finiront par para\u00eetre raisonnables ou extr\u00eamement pessimistes. Mais \u00e0 mesure que le d\u00e9veloppement de l\u2019IA continue de s\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer, quel niveau de risque sommes-nous pr\u00eats \u00e0 accepter avant que la technologie ne devienne encore plus puissante ?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019ancien chercheur d\u2019Anthropic Jacob Coxon a fait une pr\u00e9diction gla\u00e7ante sur ce \u00e0 quoi la course \u00e0 l\u2019IA pourrait finalement mener. Dans un fil de discussion sur X, il a \u00e9voqu\u00e9 sa conviction qu\u2019il existe une possibilit\u00e9 s\u00e9rieuse que des syst\u00e8mes d\u2019IA de plus en plus puissants puissent repr\u00e9senter une menace existentielle pour l\u2019humanit\u00e9. Pour [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2314,"featured_media":26225,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_enabled_clarity":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1019],"tags":[],"work":[],"class_list":["post-26224","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tutoriels"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.3 (Yoast SEO v28.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>L\u2019IA a plus de 10 % de chances de tuer tous les humains au cours de la prochaine d\u00e9cennie, avertissement gla\u00e7ant lanc\u00e9 par des initi\u00e9s d\u2019Anthropic<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"L\u2019ex-chercheur d\u2019Anthropic Jacob Coxon lance un avertissement gla\u00e7ant sur l\u2019IA, tandis qu\u2019Evan Hubinger estime \u00e0 plus de 10 % le risque 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